Market Intelligence
High liquidity
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Key markets: USA & UK
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Andy Warhol
The following analysis is AI generated ![]()
Andy Warhol’s market demonstrates both depth and resilience, with high liquidity and consistently strong performance at major auction houses. The vast majority of lots—over 65%—are offered below $50,000, while the average price is skewed upward by a small number of high-value works, resulting in a strongly top-heavy price structure.
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Price historyi
CAGR i
-0.4%
-0.4%
Year-over-year growth i
Volume vs value
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Annual turnover and price level
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- Yearly
- Quarterly
- Monthly
Price performance: realised price vs pre-sale mid-point estimatei
Market absorption: sold vs bought-in lots and sell-through rate
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- Yearly
- Quarterly
- Monthly
Hammer ratioi
Trading range i
Decade analysis i
Comparing average realised prices and premium percentages across production decades.
Top performing creation years i
| Creation year | Works sold i | Avg price i | Premium over est. i |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1963 | 43 | $9.14M | +2,284.6% |
| 1962 | 36 | $4.97M | +1,198.5% |
| 1964 | 284 | $2.42M | +530.4% |
| 1976 | 145 | $560.41k | +46.3% |
| 1986 | 360 | $526.35k | +37.4% |
Seasonal liquidity & value i
Comparing volume (bars) vs avg price (line) to find "Smart money" months.
Geographic distribution i
New York
43%
London
19%
Vienna
5%
Paris
4%
Los Angeles
3%
Geo concentration
0.23
Location premiums
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Geo-arbitrage opportunities.
Market velocity
Sell-through rate i
86.2%
Sales success
Avg days between sales i
3
Turnover rate
Median days between sales i
1
Typical cadence
Auction house performance i
| House | Total volume i | Avg price i | Success rate i |
|---|---|---|---|
| Christie's | $1,374.89M | $714.97k | 93.71% |
| Sotheby's | $927.89M | $854.41k | 90.65% |
| Phillips | $251.01M | $193.08k | 93.26% |
| Bonhams | $20.66M | $34.38k | 72.15% |
| Ketterer Kunst | $10.06M | $228.75k | 93.62% |
| SBI Art Auction | $7.38M | $50.57k | 97.99% |
| Dorotheum | $7.23M | $21.40k | 83.87% |
| Bukowskis | $5.14M | $61.95k | 92.22% |
| Rago | $4.43M | $20.12k | 83.65% |
| Van Ham | $4.37M | $44.58k | 90.74% |
Fair value range i
Statistical confidence intervals (95%) vs current average price.
Fairly valued
$358.82k
271.53k
446.11k
Price performance: realised price vs pre-sale estimate range
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- Yearly
- Quarterly
- Monthly
Market position radar i
Market positioning: liquidity vs median price growth
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- Yearly
- Quarterly
- Monthly
Low liquidity + rising price
Fragile/Unsustainable
High liquidity + rising price
Expansion/Healthy
Low liquidity + falling price
Contraction/Weak
High liquidity + falling price
Cooling/Correction
Liquidity risk trend i
Historical sell-through rate trajectory.
Size elasticity i
0.52Percentage price increase for every 1% increase in size (sq cm).
Volatility regime i
Annual price standard deviation. Higher values indicate greater investment risk and opportunity.
Investment horizons (ROI analysis) i
Short-term
High risk
2%
Proj. ROI
Medium-term
Medium risk
5%
Proj. ROI
Long-term
Medium risk
11%
Proj. ROI
Total works i
8.6k
Avg annual lots i
821
Liquidity rate
Risk profile
Volatility i
10.7%
Std Dev
Skewness i
34.2
Asymmetry of prices
Kurtosis i
1.5k
Frequency of outliers
Median pricei
$25k
Historical median price
Opportunity
Undervalued works
1788
Sold below low estimate
V
Price segments i
0-50K
50K-100K
100K-500K
500K-1M
1M+
Entry level (25th %) i
$6.93k
Median (50th %) i
$25k
Mid-high (75th %) i
$90k
High end (90th %) i
$275k
Top 1% floor i
$5.38M
Market efficiency
Avg hammer ratio i
1.65x
Realised price vs mid-estimate
Median hammer ratio i
1.20x
Excludes outlier bidding wars
Estimate accuracy i
79.1%
Excludes outlier bidding wars
